This debacle calls for a line-up of those who got it so wrong. Given that the Gillard experiment never looked so dismal, here's the first in a two-part line-up of losers and winners.
First, Labor's top five malefactors, the men and women to blame if it loses office. Yes, the competition is fierce but the top five stand out for messing up so badly. Next week, the other side of the equation: the top five Liberal backbenchers to be promoted - the benefactors should Tony Abbott win the next federal election.
Earning a spot in Labor's top five depends on two criteria: first, individual effort for bringing Labor to its electoral knees. Second, a consistent knack to reflect a broader problem that has brought the Labor brand into disrepute.
There is no contest for first prize. Julia Gillard's political misjudgments are rivalled only by her policy mistakes. We know her political blunders well enough: not explaining why a serving PM was kicked out in secret; the farcical introduction of the "real Julia"; then dumping on Kevin Rudd in a manner rarely seen in Australian political history. Understandably, voters wondered why Labor made this man leader in the first place.
Add to the list the alliance with the Greens; reneging on her "no carbon tax" promise; installing Peter Slipper as Speaker; dumping a pokies deal with independent Andrew Wilkie; standing by the sexting Slipper; promising a surplus, only to dump that promise too; the clumsy "captain's pick" for the Senate; and announcing a September 14 election.
The policy mistakes? We know them well, too: the stillborn East Timor solution; the ill-fated Malaysia solution; the humiliating return to offshore processing; the knee-jerk ban on beef exports; an emissions trading scheme that looks set to penalise Australia just as the EU carbon price falls; and a shambolic mining tax. Abstract promises about a national disability insurance scheme and "get a Gonski" education reforms are not policy achievements.
Gillard also wins the top guernsey for what she symbolises. Far from being a Labor warrior, her lack of convictions will mark her down in any history of Labor leaders where she risks being described as a politician with early promise who ultimately proved out of her depth.
Second place is also a no-brainer. Step up Wayne Swan, who earns the title of World's Luckiest Treasurer.
Inheriting a healthy economy allowed Swan to splash money around like Keynes on steroids, degenerating into cliche with his big spending efforts. And history will forever link Swan's name with this government's most embarrassing policy failure: a mining tax that in six months raised just $126 million against a projected $2 billion annual tax take.
From the get-go, Swan was arrogant and reckless: refusing to consult industry and the states; removing Rudd for a failed mining tax that the Treasurer concocted; spending the proceeds before the money was in the bank; promising a surplus everyone knew was a chimera. It takes a special kind of politician to upstage the antics of Eddie Obeid and Craig Thomson. Swan managed it with the mining tax.
Swan defaulted to old-fashioned class war antics because he hadn't a clue what modern Labor stood for.
Choosing Bruce Springsteen lyrics over Hawke-Keating reforms, he either doesn't understand economics or is treating us like mugs when he describes new taxes as "savings".
His CV provides a hint. A former academic and political staffer, Swan represents a clueless genre of politicians - many on the Labor side who have never worked in business or chanced their own money. They don't understand risk because they have never taken risks. They have no experience with red tape and other workplace realities, let alone knowledge of how to grow a business.
Third place goes to Rudd, not just for his kooky references to K Rudd (though that deserves more attention from psychologists). Rudd looks good today because Gillard and Swan look so bad. But the former PM set the wheel in motion for the Labor train wreck.
As leader, he draped his ill-conceived policies in language so inflated it only served to highlight the failures when they inevitably came. Rude and unprofessional as prime minister, Rudd became a poster boy for the pitfalls of narcissism and Bertrand Russell's observation that "fools and fanatics are so certain of themselves, and wiser people so full of doubts". Rudd's chutzpah changing his stripes from economic conservative to a reckless spending social democrat helped cement the conviction-less politics of convenience that continues under Gillard.
Coming in at fourth spot is Bill Shorten. The Workplace Relations Minister allowed the government to look like the lackey for the union movement when the stench of union corruption grew more pungent. When union membership no longer defines the working class, Shorten represents a group of new Labor MPs who have allowed Labor to drift from being the party of the workers to being a party for the vested interests of union leaders.
Dubbed the Bright Young Thing, Shorten no doubt will take the leadership if Labor loses the election. But a true believer, and a true leader, steps in when he is most needed to try to save the day, not to save himself for an easier ride.
As Labor is the party of collectives, fifth place goes to a group of female MPs best known as the misogyny maidens. Tanya Plibersek, Nicola Roxon, Penny Wong, Jenny Macklin and, of course, the PM - who earns two places in the top five - debased the serious issue of misogyny with cheap politics. And nothing is more certain to offend Australians than the finger-wagging culture of these trendy inner-city MPs whom the French would call "gauche caviar". They understand little about the robust sense of humour, let alone common sense or values, of people in suburbs farther afield.
Others may want different candidates on the list of those to blame if Labor loses. But these top five are standouts. The damage they have done to the Labor brand will likely last much longer than their own short time in government.
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- Belinda Tanner Posted at 12:30 AM TodayComment 1 of 112
- Gillard is doomed of Bundaberg Posted at 12:45 AM TodayComment 2 of 112
- Terry Adelaide Posted at 12:45 AM TodayComment 3 of 112
- Kate of Brisbane Posted at 12:46 AM TodayComment 4 of 112
- Kate of Brisbane Posted at 12:52 AM TodayComment 5 of 112
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- Nicky of Perth Posted at 1:10 AM TodayComment 9 of 112
- SUELLEN of ballina Posted at 1:12 AM TodayComment 10 of 112
- Gerry Sinclair of Gold Coast Posted at 1:25 AM TodayComment 11 of 112
- Wayne Sleep of Gold Coast Posted at 2:10 AM TodayComment 12 of 112
- Jim Planincic of Perth Posted at 2:11 AM TodayComment 13 of 112
- tabitha of melbourne Posted at 2:14 AM TodayComment 14 of 112
- CANTWAIT of Sydney Posted at 2:16 AM TodayComment 15 of 112
- Chris of Adelaide Posted at 3:00 AM TodayComment 16 of 112
- Simonzee of Perth WA Posted at 3:05 AM TodayComment 17 of 112
- Brian Beban of Burleigh Heads Posted at 3:47 AM TodayComment 18 of 112
- Maggie Qld Posted at 3:56 AM TodayComment 19 of 112
- Geoff of Tweed Posted at 3:57 AM TodayComment 20 of 112
- so many truths Posted at 4:56 AM TodayComment 21 of 112
- Tony of Adelaide Posted at 5:01 AM TodayComment 22 of 112
- Honesty Posted at 5:17 AM TodayComment 23 of 112
- Willo Posted at 5:20 AM TodayComment 24 of 112
- Monty of Brisbane Posted at 5:22 AM TodayComment 25 of 112
- The River Was Wide But I Swam It, Janet of Sydney Posted at 5:47 AM TodayComment 26 of 112
- Maria of Sydney Posted at 5:49 AM TodayComment 27 of 112
- Jack Bris of Brisbane Posted at 6:10 AM TodayComment 28 of 112
- rodney allsworth of morayfield Posted at 6:11 AM TodayComment 29 of 112
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- Craig - Melbourne Posted at 6:26 AM TodayComment 33 of 112
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- Gerry Van Hees of Narre Warren North Posted at 7:01 AM TodayComment 36 of 112
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- Ken Carr of Sydney Posted at 7:11 AM TodayComment 39 of 112
- Jack Bris of Brisbane Posted at 7:11 AM TodayComment 40 of 112
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- One more loss to go of Brisbane Posted at 7:28 AM TodayComment 46 of 112
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- Duke van Willem of Adelaide Posted at 7:36 AM TodayComment 48 of 112
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- Bitter voter. of Reality Land. Posted at 8:42 AM TodayComment 75 of 112
- phil_surfmore of qld Posted at 8:45 AM TodayComment 76 of 112
- Jolly Batey of Geelong Posted at 8:48 AM TodayComment 77 of 112
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- Don of East brisbane Posted at 8:49 AM TodayComment 79 of 112
- Ken of Melbourne Posted at 9:03 AM TodayComment 80 of 112
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- Tasiturn of Kimberley, B.C. Canada, V1A 3A7 Posted at 9:29 AM TodayComment 91 of 112
- Fed up with Labor Posted at 9:36 AM TodayComment 92 of 112
- mags of Queensland Posted at 9:38 AM TodayComment 93 of 112
- david hadley of brisbane Posted at 9:39 AM TodayComment 94 of 112
- mikem of Brisbane Posted at 9:39 AM TodayComment 95 of 112
- Mutchu of Brisbane Posted at 9:41 AM TodayComment 96 of 112
- Sunray of nswcentral coast Posted at 9:42 AM TodayComment 97 of 112
- Can't Come Soon Enough Posted at 9:47 AM TodayComment 98 of 112
- James of Sydney Posted at 9:49 AM TodayComment 99 of 112
- miner of Darwin Posted at 9:54 AM TodayComment 100 of 112
- Andrew of Vic Sq Posted at 10:19 AM TodayI think this is a kinder analysis of Labors woes than history will portray. Future text books on Government and Politics will not be so kind. Let us hope that the next Government sets a better example. And hope that the memories of voters do not fail them when it comes to electing Labor at some future time merely because the Coalition has been in power for a long time - think John Howard.Comment 101 of 112
- Arch of Qld Posted at 10:21 AM Today" And nothing is more certain to offend Australians than the finger-wagging culture of these trendy inner-city MPs whom the French would call "gauche caviar". They understand little about the robust sense of humour, let alone common sense or values, of people in suburbs farther afield." I love it.Comment 102 of 112
- James Cleland of Melbourne Posted at 10:25 AM TodayGold!Comment 103 of 112
- Terry Adelaide Posted at 10:27 AM TodayGreat stuff Janet! All in all they are a bunch of parasites lunching on issues of the past with nothing to offer the future except to clean up their mess.Comment 104 of 112
- howe synnott of sydney Posted at 10:28 AM TodayJanet, excoriating - and right on the money. However, if Abbott assumes he can simply be the Steven Bradbury of federal politics, and sail through as the ALP crash out, it will be but a short-lived victory. It will be interesting to see what happens from here.Comment 105 of 112
- MFW of Vic. Posted at 10:30 AM TodayAll I want to say is, Paul Howes, "well boo hoo", to you too. If what you say was not true Janet, it would be laughable, but it is an absolute shame of epic proportions, and an embarrassment.Comment 106 of 112
- M.Camara of Camberwell Posted at 10:32 AM TodayHow about the three independents who represents conservative voters who was double-crossed big time. Then they have the union bosses whose self interest was well served. It is also hard not to point fingers on the Greenies who forced Julia Gillard to reneged on her promise of no carbon tax.Comment 107 of 112
- James of Perth Posted at 10:38 AM TodayHi Janet, great article once again and full of wisdom. I would have placed Rudd 07 as No. 1. He also told big lies about himself during his 07 election campaign, gave the nation false hopes, and then failed miserably on all accounts. However, it is a tough call.Comment 108 of 112
- Observer Posted at 10:41 AM TodayNo disagreement with the listing of Gillard, Rudd, Swan, Shorten and the handbag hit squad. You could add: Lindsay Tanner & Penny Wong for being such poor finance ministers; Greg Combet and Paul Howes for selling out manufacturing workers in their zeal for a useless carbon tax; McTernan for continual bad advice, particularly the personal attacks on Abbott; and Craig Emerson for buffoonery. Other internal destroyers of Labor are: Eddie Obeid, Craig Thomson, Bligh, Carr/Iemma/Rees/Keneally.Comment 109 of 112
- JP of Bardon of Bardon Posted at 10:43 AM TodayJanet, I dont think I have ever read an article that has made me smile so much. What a great snapshot of everything Labour. Pure Poetry, you made my day.Comment 110 of 112
- raffo Posted at 10:46 AM TodayOnce again Janet a wonderful article,your analysis is as Howes would say 110% Correct! I cannot understand how so many supposedly intelligent people can get it so wrong.But where did they get their ethics&principles? it goes against everything i was ever taught or passed on to my children. God help us if this rabble are reelected.Comment 111 of 112
- Allan Usherwood of Bunbury WA Posted at 10:53 AM TodayWhat a fine description of these Labor "never will be's" Janet has put her finger on this sorry bunch of amateurs that have blackened the political horizen more than "Rusty" could ever hope to.This predicament this mob has left us in is unprecidented in Australian history,it will take a strong government to bail us out of mire we are in and I do not envy thd kincoming covernments formidable task. Allan Myalup WA.Comment 112 of 112